Yuan Hui, Chairman of Xiaoi Group: In the next 20 years, the biggest threat to humanity will be the struggle for carbon and silicon
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In 2007, when the first iPhone was released, no one would say it was a watershed of the times. But three years later, we saw countless applications emerging in the AppStore, and finally realized that the mobile internet was fully deployed
In 2007, when the first iPhone was released, no one would say it was a watershed of the times. But three years later, we saw countless applications emerging in the AppStore, and finally realized that the mobile internet was fully deployed. "" Now we see an opportunity like 'Windows' in the era of artificial intelligence, an opportunity involving the underlying operating system
On September 7th, Yuan Hui, Chairman and CEO of Xiaoi Group, stated in an interview with Pengpai Technology (www.thetaper. cn) that in the era of personal computers, there are Windows, in the era of mobile internet, there are iOS and Android, and in the era of AI, there are big models. Due to changes in the underlying infrastructure, all the applications we see now will be reshaped, whether it's social media, e-commerce, gaming, etc. Imagine what the shape of the house was when kerosene lamps were used? After being connected to water and electricity, what was the shape of the house? This is the disruptive reshaping brought about by every change in the base
Yuan Hui, Chairman of the Board of Directors and CEO of Xiaoi Group, stated at the "Big Language Model Eliminating the Human Machine Gap: Is Human Subjectivity Strengthened or Weakened" at the Bund Conference Insights Forum.
On the same day, Yuan Hui delivered a keynote speech at the Insights Forum of the Bund Conference on "Eliminating the Human Machine Gap through the Big Language Model: Will Big Models Accelerate the Arrival of Artificial Intelligence Singularities?", elaborating in more detail on his thoughts on the Big Language Model. He believes that the big model must address three core challenges: controllability, customizability, and deliverability. The biggest threat to humanity in the next 20 years will definitely be the struggle between carbon based life and silicon based life.
Controllable, customizable, and deliverable
On the same day, Yuan Hui delivered a keynote speech at the Insights Forum of the Bund Conference on "The Big Language Model Eliminates the Human Machine Gap: Is Human Subjectivity Strengthened or Weakened". In this speech and interview, Yuan Hui talked about a widely discussed question: Will large models accelerate the arrival of artificial intelligence singularity (machine intelligence surpasses human intelligence)?
Yuan Hui's viewpoint is very clear: No. Because the basic theoretical framework of artificial intelligence has not been broken through in the past 60 years, without breaking through this framework, it is theoretically impossible to produce the singularity we expected, namely the emergence of AGI (General Artificial Intelligence), which creates a 'new species' with self-awareness that is difficult to position as a tool
But the prelude has already begun, "Yuan Hui believes, stating that the big model is the prelude to AGI. The current emergence of its generalization ability and intelligent emergence, including the thinking chain and drawing inferences, all possess some basic core elements of humanity.
If the future of big models is not universal artificial intelligence, what are the core values of big models? What is the biggest difference between the past artificial intelligence technology and the current big model?
The difference is that in the past, artificial intelligence technology could only be commercialized in certain industries and scenarios, such as call centers, smart cities, and specific software and hardware. However, the biggest value of today's big models lies in their ability to drive changes in all industries at the same time. This is the beginning of the true golden decade of artificial intelligence, "said Yuan Hui.
He used news media as an example, and in the era of personal computers, when reading news, he might go to the three major portals of Sina, which were web versions. In the era of mobile Internet, we will see today's headlines or Tiktok, or some new media based on mobile Internet. What will be seen in the era of artificial intelligence? From the media itself, you can see every generational change, and you will know that every industry will change. Therefore, this is a huge industrial transformation, in which new leading enterprises will emerge
In Yuan Hui's view, this is particularly important for China. In the past few decades, it has been difficult for Chinese companies to enter the competition of underlying frameworks such as operating systems, chips, and databases. Because there are already achievements made with a large amount of resources invested in the market, which can be used at a low cost. However, today is different. China has emerged with a new structural opportunity that has never been seen in the past 40 years. China must have its own big model and its own artificial intelligence The new operating system of the era
Yuan Hui believes that in order for the big model to truly promote human technological progress and make life better, three core challenges must be addressed. The first one is controllable, whether it is controllable in terms of ethics, values, and ideology. Uncontrollable means that it cannot be used. The second one is customizable, and if you want to use a big model, a fundamental demand must be that the answer output from the big model is the one you want, not just plain nonsense. It must be customizable. The third one is deliverable, and no one is willing to spend another $1 billion or $100 today To reshape a big model like OpenAI with billions of dollars, we should use the big model at a lower cost. Controllable, customizable, and deliverable, it must be able to target business scenarios
Humans may fall into two roles
During the speech, Yuan Hui asked the audience a question: From opening your eyes in the morning to closing them at night, is your life and work more like a machine or a person?
Many of my friends are very frank in telling me that their life and work are actually more like a machine. The second question follows closely. If your life and work are more like a machine, but your abilities are not as good as artificial intelligence, what is the meaning of your existence? "Yuan Hui asked.
He believes that if we continue like this, humans may fall into two roles. The first character, our body will become a provider of energy because our body can also contribute energy; the second character, like the magazine on the cover of The New Yorker, will put a collar around your neck and humans will become a provider of entertainment
Yuan Hui agrees with Hawking and Musk's viewpoint that the greatest threat to humanity is not humanity itself, but artificial intelligence. British theoretical physicist Stephen Hawking once said in a 2014 interview with the BBC: "The development of comprehensive artificial intelligence may mean the end of humanity." He believes that artificial intelligence is redesigning itself at an increasingly fast pace, while humans are constrained by slow biological evolution, unable to compete, and will be replaced. Tesla CEO Elon Musk has also issued multiple warnings that AI will threaten the existence of human civilization.
The biggest challenge for humanity today is not actually the disputes between regions or countries that are currently visible. The biggest threat for humanity is the carbon (based life) and silicon (based life) disputes in the next 20 years, "said Yuan Hui.
The Metaverse Promotes Humanity to Re Understand the World
Last September, Yuan Hui discussed the relationship between the metaverse and AI in the "Metaverse Chat Room" hosted by Pengpai Technology. In this speech, he once again discussed this topic.
Many people may think that if AI is on the rise, the metaverse will cool down. This is a misconception in itself. The core of the metaverse is precisely artificial intelligence. Without the explosion of artificial intelligence, it is impossible to create a large number of virtual worlds, and relying on humans to construct this thing itself is impossible. The night before the explosion of the metaverse, it must have been AIGC (artificial intelligence generated content) Explosion requires the creation of a large number of people, objects, and fields, as well as the creation of a large number of native worlds
At present, in the field of extended reality (XR, a collective term for various technologies such as virtual reality, augmented reality, and hybrid reality) devices, Apple is the most concerned and expected manufacturer. In June of this year, Apple launched the hybrid reality headworn device VisionPro, which has not yet been released. Yuan Hui believes that headphones are an entrance to the metaverse, but only a part of it. It's like using AI for facial recognition or image recognition, which is not the same level as AI with cognitive intelligence. As for VisionPro itself, it does not have the intelligence of the brain, but only takes you into the metaverse, where cognitive intelligence truly dominates, "Yuan Hui said in an interview.
In Yuan Hui's eyes, the metaverse is not a new way for human entertainment, but a way to promote a new understanding of the real world. In the process of mirroring the real world, the fusion of the real world and the world created by AIGC creates a world of virtual and real coexistence, constantly promoting humanity to re understand itself. According to current trends, if humans cannot re understand the world and themselves, artificial intelligence may destroy humanity.
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